The broad objectives of theoretical and empirical research at the Economic Growth Center are to understand the process of economic development and growth as well as the associated changes in economic structure. In particular, an understanding of how policies affect that process is necessary for suggesting policies for promoting development. The research is founded on relevant economic theory (micro and macro) and econometric tools. Empirical studies rely on cross-sectional and intertemporal data on micro decision-making units, such as individuals and households, and aggregates, such as nations, interpreted within suitable economic, demographic, and social frameworks. An increasing share of the research involves the study of the behavior of persons, households, and firms, as revealed in sample surveys, and applies the tools of microeconomic theory and associated statistical tools. EGC Discussion Papers report the results of the research efforts of Center members.

EGC faculty, visiting research faculty associated with the EGC and Ph.D. students on the job market wishing to submit a paper to the series should email a completed submission form with the paper to egc[at]yale.edu.

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Papers from 2003

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GMOs: Prospects for Increased Crop Productivity in Developing Countries, Robert E. Evenson

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Paths to Success: The Relationship Between Human Development and Economic Growth, Michael Boozer, Gustav Ranis, Francis Stewart, and Tavneet Suri

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An Extension of the Blinder-Oaxaca Decomposition Technique to Logit and Probit Models, Robert W. Fairlie

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A Unified Framework for Measuring Preferences for Schools and Neighborhoods, Patrick Bayer, Fernando Ferreira, and Robert McMillan

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Families, Human Capital, and Small Business: Evidence from the Characteristics of Business Owners Survey, Robert W. Fairlie and Alicia Robb

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Is Dualism Worth Revisiting?, Gustav Ranis

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Two Statistical Problems in the Princeton Project on the European Fertility Transition, John C. Brown and Timothy W. Guinnane

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Wage Rentals for Reproducible Human Capital: Evidence from Ghana and the Ivory Coast, T. Paul Schultz

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Adjustment is Much Slower Than You Think, Ricardo J. Caballero and Eduardo M.R.A. Engel

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An Equilibrium Model of Sorting in an Urban Housing Market: The Causes and Consequences of Residential Segregation, Patrick Bayer, Robert McMillan, and Kim Rueben

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A Note on the Equilibrium Properties of Locational Sorting Models, Patrick Bayer and Christopher Timmins

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Building Criminal Capital Behind Bars: Social Learning in Juvenile Corrections, Patrick Bayer, Randi Pintoff, and David E. Pozen

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Could Higher Taxes Increase the Long-Run Demand for Capital?: Theory and Evidence for Chile, Álvaro Bustos, Eduardo Engel, and Alexander Galetovic

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Estimating Equilibrium Models of Sorting Across Locations, Patrick Bayer and Christopher Timmins

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Fertility, Child Work and Schooling Consequences of Family Planning Programs: Evidence from an Experiment in Rural Bangladesh, Nistha Sinha

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Privatizing Highways in Latin America: Is It Possible to Fix What Went Wrong?, Eduardo Engel, Ronald Fischer, and Alexander Galetovic

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The Effectiveness of Juvenile Correctional Facilities: Public Versus Private Management, Patrick Bayer and David E. Pozen

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What Drives RaciBring some thing simple then you will eaal Segregation? New Evidence Using Census Microdata, Patrick Bayer, Robert McMillan, and Kim Rueben

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Child Labor, Christopher Udry

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Intrahousehold Resource Allocation in Côte D’Ivoire: Social Norms, Separate Accounts and Consumption Choices, Esther Duflo and Christopher Udry

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Buying Fields and Marrying Daughters: An Empirical Analysis of Rosca Auctions in a South Indian Village, Stefan Klonner

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Human Capital, Schooling and Health Returns, T. Paul Schultz

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Human Resources in China: The Birth Quota, Returns to Schooling, and Migration, T. Paul Schultz

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China’s Capital and Productivity Measurement Using Financial Resources, Kui-Wai Li

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Non-Tariff Barriers as a Test of Political Economy Theories, Philip I. Levy

Papers from 2001

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Fertility in South Dublin a Century Ago: A First Look, Timothy W. Guinnane, Carolyn Moehling, and Cormac Ó Gráda

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Sources of Machine-Tool Industry Leadership in the 1990s: Overlooked Intrafirm Factors, Hiroyuki Chuma

Why Governments Should Invest More to Educate Girls, T. Paul Schultz

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Delegated Monitors, Large and Small: The Development of Germany’s Banking System, 1800-1914, Timothy W. Guinnane

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School Subsidies for the Poor: Evaluating the Mexican Progresa Poverty Program, T. Paul Schultz

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The Fertility Transition: Economic Explanations, T. Paul Schultz

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Does Intellectual Property Protection Spur Technological Change?, Sunil Kanwar and Robert Evenson

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India’s Reform of External Sector Policies and Future Multilateral Trade Negotiations, T.N. Srinivasan

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Inside the ‘Black Box’ of Project STAR: Estimation of Peer Effects Using Experimental Data, Michael A. Boozer and Stephen E. Cacciola

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A ‘Friend and Advisor’: Management, Auditors, and Confidence in Germany’s Credit Cooperatives, 1889-1914, Timothy W. Guinnane

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Consumption Growth in a Booming Economy: Taiwan 1976-96, David J. Mckenzie

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Decentralization in Argentina, Nadir Habibi, Cindy Huang, Diego Miranda, and Victoria Murillo

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Group Behavior and Development: A Comparison of Farmers’ Organisations in South Korea and Taiwan, Larry Burmeister, Gustav Ranis, and Michael Wang

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Growth and Human Development: Comparative Latin American Experience, Gustav Ranis and Frances Stewart

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Mortality in the North Dublin Union During the Great Famine, Timothy W. Guinnane and Cormac Ó Gráda

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The Effects of Class Size on the Long Run Growth in Reading Abilities and Early Adult Outcomes in the Christchurch Health and Development Study, Michael A. Boozer and Tim Maloney

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Correlation Analysis of Financial Contagion: What One Should Know Before Running a Test, Giancarlo Corsetti, Marcello Pericoli, and Massimo Sbracia

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The Fertility Transition in Bavaria, John C. Brown and Timothy W. Guinnane

Papers from 1999

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Pattern and Determinants of Intra-Industry Trade in Australian Manufacturing, Kishor Sharma

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Earnings Effects of Household Investment in Colombia, Rocio Ribero

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Estimating the Amenity Costs of Global Warming in Brazil: Getting the Most from Available Data, Christopher Timmins

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Visitations and Transfers in Non Intact Households, Daniela Del Boca and Rocio Ribero

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How to Win Schumpeterian Competition: Technological Transfers in the German Plastics Industry from the 1930s to the 1970s, Jochen Streb

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Outward-Orientation and Development: Are Revisionists Right?, T. N. Srinivasan and Jagdish Bhagwati

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Technology – Climate Interactions in the Green Revolution in India, Robert E. Evenson and James W. McKinsey, Jr.

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Labor Market Reforms: Issues, Evidence and Prospects, T. Paul Schultz

The Impact of Institutional Reform from 1979 to 1987 on Fertility in Rural China, T. Paul Schultz and Zeng Yi

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Export Instability, Investment and Economic Growth in Asian Countries: A Time Series Analysis, Dipendra Sinha

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Interest Rate Smoothing and Time-Varying Premium: Another Look at Debt Management in Japan, Yosuke Takeda

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Health and Schooling Investment in Africa, T. Paul Schultz

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Public-Private Employment Choice, Wage Differentials and Gender in Turkey, Aysit Tansel

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Sanctions on South Africa: What Did They Do?, Philip I. Levy

Dictatorships as a Political Dutch Disease, Ricky Lam and Leonard Wantchekon

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School Completion in Pakistan: Analysis of Censoring and Selection Bias, Jessica Holmes

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Women’s Role in the Agricultural Household: Bargaining and Human Capital, T. Paul Schultz