The Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics at Yale University has as its purpose the conduct and encouragement of research in economics. The Cowles Foundation seeks to foster the development and application of rigorous logical, mathematical, and statistical methods of analysis. Among its activities, the Cowles Foundation provides financial support for research, visiting faculty, postdoctoral fellowships, workshops, and graduate students. Cowles regularly sponsors conferences and publishes a working paper series, a reprint series, and monographs.

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Submissions from 1985

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Risk and Return: Consumption Beta Versus Market Beta, N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew D. Shapiro

Submissions from 1984

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A Note on the Unbiasedness of Feasible GLS, Quasi-Maximum Likelihood, Robust Adaptive, and Spectral Estimators of the Linear Model, Donald W.K. Andrews

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A Note on the Unbiasedness of Feasible GLS, Quasi-Maximum Likelihood, Robust Adaptive, and Spectral Estimators of the Linear Model, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Games with Perceptive Commanders But Less Perceptive Subordinates, Martin Shubik

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On a General Existence Theorem for Marginal Cost Pricing Equilibria, Donald J. Brown, Geoffrey M. Heal, M. Ali Khan, and Rajiv Vohra

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Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Power versus Frequency of Observation, Robert J. Shiller and Pierre Perron

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A Note on Enough Money in a Strategic Market Game with Complete or Fewer Markets, Martin Shubik

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Managerial Incentives and Capital Management, Bengt Holmstrom and Joan E. Ricart-Costa

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The Dynamic Demand for Capital and Labor, Matthew D. Shapiro

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The Exact Distribution of the Wald Statistic: The Non-Central Case, Peter C.B. Phillips and Sam Ouliaris

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A Mean-Variance Approach to Fundamental Valuations, James Tobin

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Expansionary Government Policy in an Economy with Commodity and Labor, Russell Cooper

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Neighborhood Systems for Production Sets with Indivisibilities, Herbert E. Scarf

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Optimal Cartel Equilibria with Imperfect Monitoring, Dilip Abreu, David G. Pearce, and Ennio Stacchetti

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Strategic Market Games: A Dynamic Programming Application to Money, Banking and Insurance, Martin Shubik

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An Everywhere Convergent Series Representation of the Distribution of Hotelling's Generalized T 2^0, Peter C.B. Phillips

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An Everywhere Convergent Series Representation of the Distribution of Hotellings Generalized T 2^0, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Testing for Serial Correlation and Unit Roots Using a Computer Function Routine Based on ERA's, Peter C.B. Phillips and Peter C. Reiss

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The Exact Distribution of the Wald Statistic, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Trends, Random Walks, and Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis, N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew D. Shapiro

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Empirical Tests of the Rationality of Economic Forecasters: A Fixed Horizons Approach, William D. Nordhaus and Steven N. Durlauf

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Empirical Tests of the Rationality of Economic Forecasters: A Fixed Horizons Approach, William D. Nordhaus and Steven N. Durlauf

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General Equilibrium with Wage Rigidities: An Application to Belgium, Victor Ginsburgh and Ludo Van der Heyden

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I and First and Second Scenarios (A Sensitivity Analysis), Paul Bracken, Moshe Haviv, Martin Shubik, and Ulrich Tulowitzki

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Plausible Outcomes for Games in Strategic Form, Martin Shubik

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Product Warranties and Double Moral Hazard, Russell Cooper and Thomas W. Ross

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Stock Prices and Social Dynamics, Robert J. Shiller

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Stock Prices and Social Dynamics, Robert J. Shiller

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The Many Approaches to the Study of Monopolistic Competition, Martin Shubik

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The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models, Ray C. Fair

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Stability Comparisons of Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Estimated Trade-Offs between Unemployment and Inflation, Ray C. Fair

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Job Discrimination, Market Forces and the Invisibility Hypothesis, Paul R. Milgrom and Sharon Oster

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Job Discrimination, Market Forces and the Invisibility Hypothesis, Paul R. Milgrom and Sharon Oster

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Price and Advertising Signals of Product Quality, Paul R. Milgrom and John Roberts

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Stability Comparisons of Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Stability Comparisons of Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews

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A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results, Ray C. Fair and Lewis S. Alexander

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A General Equilibrium Expression of the Paradox of Thrift, Christophe Chamley

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Consumption, Liquidity Constraints and Asset Accumulation in the Presence of Random Income Fluctuations, Richard H. Clarida

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Optimal Spending and Money Holdings in the Presence of Liquidity Constraints and Random Income Fluctuations, Richard H. Clarida

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The Cooperative Form, the Value and the Allocation of Joint Costs and Benefits, Martin Shubik

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A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models, Ray C. Fair and Lewis S. Alexander

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Conditional Projection by Means of Kalman Filtering, Richard H. Clarida and Diane Coyle

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On the Stochastic Steady-State Behavior of Optimal Asset Accumulation in the Presence of Random Wage Fluctuations and Incomplete Markets, Richard H. Clarida

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Optimal Taxation of Capital Income in Economies with Identical Private and Social Discount Rates, Christophe Chamley

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A Note on Biology, Time and the Golden Rule, Martin Shubik

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A Zero-One Result for the Least Squares Estimator, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Current Account, Exchange Rate, and Monetary Dynamics in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model, Richard H. Clarida

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Robust Estimation of Location in a Gaussian Parametric Model: II, Donald W.K. Andrews

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The Behavior of U.S. Short-Term Interest Rates Since October 1979, Richard H. Clarida and Benjamin M. Friedman

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Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity, Ray C. Fair

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Excess Labor and the Business Cycle, Ray C. Fair

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Insurance, Flexibility and Non-contingent Trades, Russell Cooper

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Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a General Equilibrium Model, Truman F. Bewley

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Monopoly Provision of Product Quality with Uninformed Buyers, Russell Cooper and Thomas W. Ross

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Net Present Value Maximization and Imperfections in the Loan Market: A Note, Cynthia Van Hulle

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On a Variable Dimension Algorithm for the Linear Complementarity Problem, Ludo Van der Heyden

Submissions from 1983

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Dominance and Shareholder Unanimity: A New Approach, Cynthia Van Hulle

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Stochastic Equilibrium and Turnpike Property: The Discounted Case, Ramon Marimon

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The Optimality of Regulated Pricing: A General Equilibrium Analysis” AND “An Optimal Tax Rule for Average Cost Pricing, Donald J. Brown and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Finite Sample Econometrics Using ERA's, Peter C.B. Phillips

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The Exact Distribution of the Stein-Rule Estimator, Peter C.B. Phillips

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A Note on the “Corelessness” of Antibalance of a Game, Martin Shubik and Shlomo Weber

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Intertemporally Separable Overlapping Generations Economies, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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On University Education in Econometrics: Remarks on an Article by Eric R. Sowey, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Information Patterns and Nash Equilibria in Extensive Games, Pradeep Dubey and Mamoru Kaneko

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Multimarket Oligopoly, Jeremy I. Bulow, John Geanakoplos, and Paul D. Klemperer

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The Exact Distribution of Zellner's SUR, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Organizing Production in a Large Economy with Costly Communication, Paul R. Milgrom and Robert J. Weber

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The Exact Distribution of Exogenous Variable Coefficient Estimators, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Robert J. Shiller, John Y. Campbell, and Kermit L. Schoenholtz

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Linear Complementarity and the Average Volume of Simplicial Cones, Roger Howe

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Macroeconomics under Debate, James Tobin

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Profit-Sharing in a Collusive Industry, Martin J. Osborne and Carolyn Pitchik

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Worker Asymmetric Information and Involuntary Unemployment, Russell Cooper

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Multiperiod Insurance Contracts, Russell Cooper and Beth Hayes

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Fiscal Incidence in a Dynamic Life-Cycle Model with Land, Christophe Chamley

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A Strategic Market Game with Transaction Costs, J. D. Rogawski and Martin Shubik

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Blockmodeling Complex Statutes: Mapping Techniques Based on Combinatorial Optimization for Analyzing Economic Legislation and Its Stress Points over Time, Scott A. Boorman and Paul R. Levitt

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First Order Autoregressive Processes and Strong Mixing, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Strategic Resource Extraction: When Easy Doesn't Do It, Jeremy I. Bulow and John Geanakoplos

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Monetary Policies with Increasing Returns, Graciela Chichilnisky and Geoffrey M. Heal

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The Exact Distribution of LIML: II, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Predetermined Prices and the Allocation of Social Risks, Costas Azariadis and Russell Cooper

Submissions from 1982

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Global Stability in a Class of Markets with Three Commodities and Three Consumers, Masayoshi Hirota

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Marginal Versus Average Cost Pricing in the Presence of a Public Monopoly, Donald J. Brown and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Near-Markets and Market Games, Martin Shubik and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Optimal Labor Contracts and the Role of Monetary Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model, Russell Cooper

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The Exact Distribution of LIML: I, Peter C.B. Phillips

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A Geometric Explanation of the Transfer Paradox in a Stable Economy, John Geanakoplos and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Investment Versus Savings Incentives: The Size of the Bang for the Buck and the Potential for Self-Financing Business Tax Cuts, Alan J. Auerbach and Laurence Kotlikoff

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Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games: A Critique of Rational Expectations, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos, and Martin Shubik

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Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games: A Critique of Rational Expectations, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos, and Martin Shubik

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Robust and Asymptotically Efficient Estimation of Location in a Stationary Strong Mixing Gaussian Parametric Model, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Scarf's Procedure for Integer Programming and a Dual Simplex Algorithm, Philip M. White, Andrew S. Caplin, and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Stable Disequilibrium Prices: Macroeconomics and Increasing Returns I, Geoffrey M. Heal

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On Allocative Distortions in Problems of Self-Selection, Russell Cooper

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The Structure of Social Risk, William D. Nordhaus and Steven N. Durlauf

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Core and Competitive Equilibria with Indivisibilities, Martine Quinzii

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ERA's: A New Approach to Small Sample Theory, Peter C.B. Phillips

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On the Disaggregation of Excess Demand Functions, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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Utility Functions for Debreu's ‘Excess Demands', John Geanakoplos

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Don't Bet on It, John Geanakoplos and James K. Sebenius

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Failure of the Alternation Theorem in Rational Approximation over C_0 (-infinity,infinity), Peter C.B. Phillips

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Information Processing and Jury Decision making, Alvin K. Klevorick, Michael Rothschild, and Christopher Winship

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On Implicit Contracts and Involuntary Unemployment, John Geanakoplos and Takatoshi Ito

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The Distribution of Matrix Quotients, Peter C.B. Phillips

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We Can't Disagree Forever, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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A Bookmaker or Market Type Test for Specification in Discrete Choice Models, John J. Beggs

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Integral Polyhedra in Three Space, Herbert E. Scarf

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Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria in a Private Goods Economy, Pradeep Dubey and J. D. Rogawski

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Equilibria for a Three-Person Location Problem, Martin J. Osborne and Carolyn Pitchik

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Information About Moves in Extensive Games: II, Pradeep Dubey and Mamoru Kaneko

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Stochastic Games I: Foundations, Curt Alfred Monash

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Stochastic Games II: The Minmax Theorem, Curt Alfred Monash

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Exact Small Sample Theory in the Simultaneous Equations Model, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria: I, Pradeep Dubey and J. D. Rogawski

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Information About Moves in Extensive Games: I, Pradeep Dubey and Mamoru Kaneko

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Naval Procurement Problems: Theory and Practice, Zvi A. Livne and Martin Shubik

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On the Exact Distribution of LIML, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Approximate Cores of a General Class of Economies: Part II. Set-Up Costs and Firm Formation in Coalition Production Economies, Martin Shubik and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Approximate Cores of a General Class of Economies. Part I: Replica Games, Externalities, and Approximate Cores, Martin Shubik and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Cores of Partitioning Games, Mamoru Kaneko and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Macroeconomics and Fiscal Policy: Paul A. Samuelson and Modern Economics, James Tobin

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Small Sample Distribution Theory in Econometric Models of Simultaneous Equations, Peter C.B. Phillips

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How Fast Should We Graze the Global Commons?, William D. Nordhaus

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The Conventionally Stable Sets in Noncooperative Games With Limited Observations: The Application to Monopoly and Oligopoly, Mamoru Kaneko

Submissions from 1981

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Entrepreneurial Abilities and Liabilities in a Model of Self-Selection, Christophe Chamley

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Money and Finance in the Macro-Economic Process, James Tobin

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Payoffs in Non-Atomic Economies: An Axiomatic Approach, Pradeep Dubey and Abraham Neyman

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The Epsilon Core of a Large Game, Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Macroconfusion: The Dilemmas of Economic Policy, William D. Nordhaus

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A New Approach to Small Sample Theory, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Game Theory: The Language of Strategy?, Martin Shubik

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Marginal Densities of Instrumental Variable Estimators in the General Single Equation Case, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Some Remarks on the Folk Theorem in Game Theory, Mamoru Kaneko

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Asset Markets, General Equilibrium and the Neutrality of Money, Christophe Chamley and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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Economic Policy in the Face of Declining Productivity Growth, William D. Nordhaus

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Algorithms for the Linear Complementarity Problem Which Allow an Arbitrary Starting Point, Dolf A.J.J Talman and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Schumpeterian Dynamics I. An Evolutionary Model of Innovation and Imitation, Katsuhito Iwai

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Schumpeterian Dynamics II. Technological Progress, Firm Growth and ‘Economic Selection', Katsuhito Iwai

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The Conventionally Stable Sets in Noncooperative Games with Limited Observations: Definitions and Introductory Arguments, Mamoru Kaneko

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The Optimal Progressive Income Tax — The Existence and the Limit Tax Rates, Mamoru Kaneko

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On the Infinite Welfare Cost of Inflation and Other Second Order Effects, Christophe Chamley

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Approximate Equilibria with Bounds Independent of Preferences, Robert M. Anderson, M. Ali Khan, and Salim Rashid

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Arbitrage Pricing Theory in a Finite Economy, John J. Beggs

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Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares, Ray C. Fair

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Efficient Stationary Taxation and Intertemporal General Equilibrium, Christophe Chamley and Douglas Downing

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Mandatory Retirement Saving and Capital Formation, Walter Dolde and James Tobin

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Market Structure in the ‘Research and Development’ Phase, John J. Beggs

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Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries, Ray C. Fair

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Interest Rate Policies and Informational Efficiency, Laurence Weiss

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Ratio Equilibrium in an Economy with an Externality, Yozo Ito and Mamoru Kaneko

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Strong Core Theorems with Nonconvex Preferences, Robert M. Anderson

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The Dynamic Interaction between Industry Level Profits and Research and Development, John J. Beggs

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An Empirical Note on the Disposition of U.S. Corporations to Undertake Research and Development Expenditures, John J. Beggs

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Cake Slicing and Revealed Government Preference, John J. Beggs and Samuel Strong

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Existence of Equilibrium in a Hyperfinite Exchange Economy: I and II, Donald J. Brown and Lucinda M. Lewis

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Marginal Cost Pricing, Taxation and Subsidies in Urban Transport, John J. Beggs

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Properties of Manipulative Government Forecasts, John J. Beggs

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The Demand for Telephone Services in Australia and the Welfare Implications of Alternative Pricing Policies, John J. Beggs

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Core Theory with Strongly Convex Preferences, Robert M. Anderson

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Duopoly with Differentiated Products and Entry Barriers, Kofi O. Nti and Martin Shubik

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Equilibria of a Two-Person Non-Zero Sum Noisy Game of Timing, Carolyn Pitchik

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Society, Land, Love or Money (A Strategic Model of How to Glue the Generations Together), Martin Shubik

Submissions from 1980

On the Behavior of Inconsistent Instrumental Variable Estimators, Esfandiar Maasoumi and Peter C.B. Phillips

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Additively Decompable Quasiconvex Functions, Gerard Debreu and Tjalling C. Koopmans

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A Market Value Approach to Approximate Equilibria, Robert M. Anderson

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Characteristic Functions and the Tail Behavior of Probability Distributions, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Housing Market with Indivisibility, Mamoru Kaneko

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National Savings, Economic Welfare, and the Structure of Taxation, Alan J. Auerbach and Laurence Kotlikoff

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On the Consistency of Non-Linear FIML, John J. Beggs

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Person Game, Ludo Van der Heyden

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The Adequacy of Savings, Laurence Kotlikoff, Avia Spivak, and Lawrence H. Summers

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A Necessary and Sufficient Condition for the Nonemptiness of the Cores of Partitioning Games, Mamoru Kaneko

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Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models, Ray C. Fair and John B. Taylor

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The Central Assignment Game and the Assignment Markets, Mamoru Kaneko

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Thinking About Carbon Dioxide: Theoretical and Empirical Aspects of Optimal Control Strategies, William D. Nordhaus

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Best Uniform Approximation to Probability Densities in Econometrics, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Distribution, Peter C.B. Phillips

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On a Lemma of Amemiya, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Heterogeneous Information and the Theory of the Business Cycle, Sanford Grossman and Laurence Weiss

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Perfect or Robust Noncooperative Equilibrium: A Search for the Philosophers Stone?, Martin Shubik

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Extension of a Dynamical Model of Political Equilibrium, Gerald H. Kramer

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Intergenerational Political Economy (A Game Theoretic Model of How to Glue the Generations Together), Martin Shubik

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Policy Responses to the Productivity Slowdown, William D. Nordhaus

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A Model of Output, Employment, Capital Formation and Inflation, R. W. Bailey, Viv B. Hall, and Peter C.B. Phillips

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An Extension of the Nash Bargaining Problem: Introducing Time-Related Bargaining Costs, Zvi A. Livne

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Incentive Arbitration and Time-Related Bargaining Costs, Zvi A. Livne

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Linear Complementarity and the Degree of Mappings, Roger Howe

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Optimal Intertemporal Taxation and the Public Debt, Christophe Chamley

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The Welfare Cost of Capital Income Taxation in a Growing Economy, Christophe Chamley

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A Model of U.S. Financial and Nonfinancial Economic Behavior, David Backus James Tobin, William C. Brainard, Gary Smith, and James Tobin

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An Application of the KhachianShor Algorithm to a Class of Linear Complementary Problems, Ilan Adler, Richard P. McLean, and J. Scott Provan

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Output Supply, Employment, and Intra-Industry Wage Dispersion, Philip H. Dybvig and Gerald David Jaynes

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Weakly Democratic Regular Tax Equilibria in a Local Public Goods Economy with Perfect Consumer Mobility, Donald K. Richter

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Exploitation and Class: Part II, Capitalist Economy, John E. Roemer

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Inequality, Exploitation, Justice and Socialism: A Theoretical-Historical Approach, John E. Roemer

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Rawlsian Justice as the Core of a Game, John E. Roemer and Roger Howe

Submissions from 1979

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A Multicountry Econometric Model, Ray C. Fair

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A Multicountry Econometric Model, Ray C. Fair

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Some Relationships between Discrete and Continuous Models of an Urban Economy, Richard P. McLean and Thomas J. Muench

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On the Tendency Toward Convexity of the Vector Sum of Sets, Roger Howe

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An Algorithm for FIML and 3SLS Estimation of Large Nonlinear Models, William R. Parke

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Morse Programs, Okitsugu Fujiwara

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The Spending Behavior of Wealth- and Liquidity-Constrained Consumers, Kim Kowalewski and Gary Smith

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Competitive Bidding and Proprietary Information, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans and Robert J. Weber

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Disequilibrium Models of Financial Institutions, Gary Smith and William C. Brainard

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How Should We Revise Our Beliefs about Nuclear Power Safety after Three Mile Island?, William D. Nordhaus

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Information Aggregation and Policy, Laurence Weiss

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“On the Relation of Various Reliability Measures to Each Other and to Game Theoretic Values, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans and David R. Strip

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Tax-Based Incomes Policies: A Better Mousetrap?, William D. Nordhaus

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The Design of Distributed Service Systems, David R. Strip and Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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The Energy Crisis and Macroeconomic Policy, William D. Nordhaus

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The ALEP Definition of Complementarity and Least Concave Utility Functions, Yakar Kannai

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Most Convex Functions are Smooth, Roger Howe

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Production Sets with Indivisibilities: Generalities and the Case of Two Variables, Herbert E. Scarf

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Stochastic Games, Oligopoly Theory and Competitive Resource Allocation, Martin Shubik and Matthew J. Sobel

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A Strategic Market Game with Price and Quantity Strategies, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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On the Non-Existence of Multiplicative Equilibrium Bidding Strategies, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans and Robert J. Weber

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The Short-Run Macroeconomics of Floating Exchange Rates: An Exposition, James Tobin and Jorge B. de Macedo

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An Even More Elementary ‘Calculus’ Proof of the Brouwer Fixed Point Theorem, Yakar Kannai

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Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model, Ray C. Fair and William R. Parke

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Price-Quantity Strategic Market Games, Pradeep Dubey

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An Index Theorem for General Equilibrium Models with Production, Timothy J. Kehoe

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Cooperative Game Solutions: Australian, Indian and U.S. Opinions, Martin Shubik

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Value Theory without Efficiency, Pradeep Dubey, Abraham Neyman, and Robert J. Weber

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Market Induced Welfare Optima, Rolf R. Mantel

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Subjectivity in the Valuation of Games, Robert J. Weber

Submissions from 1978

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Fiscal and Monetary Policies, Capital Formation, and Economic Activity, Willem H. Buiter and James Tobin

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A Model of Stochastic Equilibrium in a Quasi-Competitive Industry, John Sutton

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An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model, Ray C. Fair

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Balance of Payments and the Foreign Exchange Market: A Dynamic Partial Equilibrium Model, Pentti J.K. Kouri

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Finiteness and Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria, Pradeep Dubey

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A Proposal for International Monetary Reform, James Tobin

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Economics among the Sciences, Tjalling C. Koopmans

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Equity, Efficiency and Increasing Returns, Donald J. Brown and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Government Deficits and Capital Accumulation, James Tobin

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Multiplicative Bidding and Convergence to Equilibrium, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Nash Equilibria of Market Games: II. Finiteness, Pradeep Dubey

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The Capital Stock Modified Competitive Equilibrium, Martin Shubik

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The Optimal Payment of Unemployment Insurance Benefits over Time, Steven Shavell and Laurence Weiss

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A Model for the Distribution of the Number of Bidders in an Auction, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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A Model of International Trade and Finance, Laurence Weiss

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An Example of a Multi-Object Auction Game, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Auctions and Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Auctions and Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Bidding in Auctions with Multiplicative Lognormal Errors: An Example, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Comparison of Public Choice Systems, Robert J. Weber

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Debt Neutrality: A Brief Review of Doctrine and Evidence, Willem H. Buiter and James Tobin

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An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models, Ray C. Fair

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An Integrated Model of Household Flow-of-Funds Allocations, David Backus and Douglas D. Purvis

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The Role for Active Monetary Policy in a Rational Expectations Model, Laurence Weiss

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A Modeling System for Applied General Equilibrium Analysis, Thomas Rutherford

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Profitability and Growth in a Small Open Economy, Pentti J.K. Kouri

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A Note on the Saddlepoint Approximation in the First Order Non-Circular Autoregression, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Exchange Rates and the International Adjustment Process, Pentti J.K. Kouri and Jorge B. de Macedo

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Systems Defense Games: Colonel Blotto, Command and Control, Martin Shubik and Robert J. Weber

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The Structure of Neutral Monotonic Social Functions, Julian H. Blau and Donald J. Brown

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 37. The Profit Maximizing Firm: Managers and Stockholders, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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Competitive Valuation of Cooperative Games, Martin Shubik and Robert J. Weber

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On ‘On the Foundations of the Theory of Monopolistic Competition', Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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The Transition from Exhaustible to Renewable or Inexhaustible Resources, Tjalling C. Koopmans

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A Model of the Jury Decision Process, Alvin K. Klevorick and Michael Rothschild

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Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models, Ray C. Fair

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Myopic Economic Agents, Donald J. Brown and Lucinda M. Lewis

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The Nucleolus as a Noncooperative Game Solution, Martin Shubik and H. P. Young

Submissions from 1977

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Modelling the Choice of Residential Location, Daniel McFadden

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Game Theory Models and Methods in Political Economy, Martin Shubik

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Nash Equilibria of Market Games: I. Existence and Convergence, Pradeep Dubey

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Probabilistic Values for Games, Pradeep Dubey and Robert J. Weber

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Probabilistic Values for Games, Pradeep Dubey and Robert J. Weber

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Quantitative Methods for Analyzing Travel Behaviour of Individuals: Some Recent Developments, Daniel McFadden

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The Computation of Equilibrium Prices: An Exposition, Herbert E. Scarf

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The Effects of Money Supply on Economic Welfare in the Steady State, Laurence Weiss

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Information Conditions, Communication and General Equilibrium, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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On Modeling the Economic Linkages Among Countries, Ray C. Fair

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Sealed Bid Auctions with Non-Additive Bid Functions, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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The Greedy Heuristic Applied to a Class of Set Partitioning and Subset Selection Problems, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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The Long Run Implications of an IS-LM Simulation Model, Gary Smith

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The Long Run Implications of a Two Sector Model with Immobile Capital, Gary Smith

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions, Martin Shubik

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Deficit Spending and Crowding Out in Shorter and Longer Runs, James Tobin

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The Long Run Consequences of Monetary and Fiscal Policies When the Governments Budget Is Not Balanced, Gary Smith

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An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets, Ray C. Fair

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Equilibrium and Disequilibrium Interpretations of the IS-LM Model, Gary Smith

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Strategic Market Games: A Sketch of an Approach to the theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Together with an Informal Guide to Some Papers, Martin Shubik

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How Dead is Keynes?, James Tobin

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Modeling Technological Change: Use of Mathematical Programming Models in the Energy Sector, William D. Nordhaus and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Monetary Policies and the Economy — The Transmission Mechanism, James Tobin

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 22. A Price-Quantity Buy-Sell Market with and without Contingent Bids, Martin Shubik

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A Model of the Balance of Payments, Ray C. Fair

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An Observation on the Structure of Production Sets with Indivisibilities, Herbert E. Scarf

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 36. The Money Rate of Interest (A Multiperiod Nonatomic Trading and Production Economy with Outside Money, Inside Money and Optimal Bankruptcy Rules), Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments, Ray C. Fair

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An Extension of the Brown-Robinson Equivalence Theorem, Donald J. Brown and M. Ali Khan

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A Shortrun Macroeconomic Model of an Open Economy, Gary Smith

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 35. Bankruptcy and Optimality in a Closed Trading Mass Economy Modelled As a Noncooperative Game, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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Logrolling and Budget Allocation Games, Martin Shubik and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Noncooperative Exchange with a Continuum of Traders, Pradeep Dubey and Lloyd S. Shapley

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The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve, Ray C. Fair

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What is the Value of Advanced Nuclear Power?, William D. Nordhaus

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Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations, Ray C. Fair

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Strategies for the Control of Carbon Dioxide, William D. Nordhaus

Submissions from 1976

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 33. On the Value of Market Information, Martin Shubik

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Probabilistic Generalizations of the Shapley Value, Pradeep Dubey

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Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 34. A Multiperiod Trading Economy with Fiat Money, Bank Money and an Optimal Bankruptcy Rule, Martin Shubik

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Wages, the Terms of Trade, and the Exchange Rate Regime, Douglas D. Purvis

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A Note on the Computation of the Tobit Estimator, Ray C. Fair

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A Theory of Extramarital Affairs, Ray C. Fair

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Economic Growth and Climate: The Carbon Dioxide Problem, William D. Nordhaus

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Price Information and the Economics of Consumerism: A Model of Stochastic Equilibrium, John Sutton

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The Small-Disturbance-Asymptotic Moments of the Instrumental Variables and Ordinary Least Squares Estimators for a Dynamic Equation with Correlated Errors, Jon K. Peck

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A Model of Insurance Markets with Asymmetric Information, Charles A. Wilson

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A Closed Economic System with Production and Exchange Modelled as a Game of Strategy, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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A Dynamic Economy with Shares, Fiat, Bank and Accounting Money, Joseph J.M. Evers and Martin Shubik

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A Model of the World Economy, Ray C. Fair

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A Short-Run Two-Commodity Macroeconomic Model, Gary Smith and William Starnes

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Asset Markets and the Cost of Capital, James Tobin and William C. Brainard

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The Linear Exchange Model and Induced Welfare Optima, Rolf R. Mantel

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 28. The Noncooperative Equilibria of a Closed Trading Economy with Market Supply and Bidding Strategies, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 30 (revised). The Optimal Bankruptcy Rule in a Trading Economy Using Fiat Money, Martin Shubik and Charles A. Wilson

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Concepts of Optimality and Their Uses, Tjalling C. Koopmans

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On Disequilibrium Economic Dynamics. Part IV. The Theory of Long-Run Phillips Curve, Katsuhito Iwai

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 26. On the Number of Types of Markets with Trade in Money, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 27. Beyond General Equilibrium, Martin Shubik

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Inflation Theory and Policy, William D. Nordhaus

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On a General Approach to Optimality in Game Theory, Eduardas Vilkas

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The Effects of Economic Events on Votes for President, Ray C. Fair

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The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance, Ray C. Fair

Submissions from 1975

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A General Equilibrium Model of World Trade. Part II. The Empirical Specification, Victor Ginsburgh and Jean Waelbroeck

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 25. A Closed Economy with Exogenous Uncertainty, Different Levels of Information, Money, Futures and Spot Markets, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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A General Equilibrium Model of World Trade. Part I. Full Format Computation of Economic Equilibria, Victor Ginsburgh and Jean Waelbroeck

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 24. Trade and Prices in a Closed Economy with Exogenous Uncertainty, Different Levels of Information, Money and No Futures Markets, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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Implications of Microeconomic Theory for Community Excess Demand Functions, Rolf R. Mantel

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On Disequilibrium Economic Dynamics. Part III. A Keynesian Theory of Money Wage Adjustment, Katsuhito Iwai

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Examples of Production Relations Based on Microdata, Tjalling C. Koopmans

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The Influence of Interest Rates on Resource Prices, Geoffrey M. Heal

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Price Taking or Price Making Behavior: An Alternative to Full Cost Price Functions, Victor Ginsburgh and Israel Zang

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The Demand for Energy: An International Perspective, William D. Nordhaus

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The Estimation of a Dynamic Equation Following A Preliminary Test for Autocorrelation, Jon K. Peck

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The Value of a Nonstandard Competitive Allocation, Donald J. Brown and Peter A. Loeb

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A Control Variable Investigation of the Properties of Autoregressive Instrumental Variables Estimators for Dynamic Systems, David F. Hendry and Frank Srba

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A Critical Analysis of Ridge Regression, Frank Campbell and Gary Smith

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Invariant Competitive Equilibrium in an Infinity-Horizon Economy with Negotiable Shares, Joseph J.M. Evers

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On Controlling the Economy to Win Elections, Ray C. Fair

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Testing Dynamic Specification in Small Simultaneous Systems: An Application to a Model of Building Society Behavior in the United Kingdom, David F. Hendry and Gordon J. Anderson

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The Limiting Distribution of Inconsistent Instrumental Variables Estimators in a Class of Stationary Stochastic Systems, David F. Hendry

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A Dynamical Model of Political Equilibrium, Gerald H. Kramer

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 21. Fiat Money, Bank Money, The Float and the Money Rate of Interest, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 23. Fiat Money, Bank Money, The Force of the Rate of Interest and the Vanishing Float, Martin Shubik

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A Duality Theory for Convex Infinite-Horizon Programming, Joseph J.M. Evers

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Collective Rationality, Donald J. Brown

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Acyclic Aggregation over Finite Sets of Alternatives, Donald J. Brown

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A Finite Algorithm for the Linear Exchange Model, B. Curtis Eaves

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Oligopoly, Theory, Communication and Information, Martin Shubik

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The Solution of Systems of Piecewise Linear Equations, B. Curtis Eaves and Herbert E. Scarf

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Keynesian Models of Recession and Depression, James Tobin

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On Disequilibrium Economic Dynamics. Part II. Wicksellian Disequilibrium Dynamics, Say's Law and the End of the Natural Rate Theory of Unemployment, Katsuhito Iwai

Submissions from 1974

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Long Run Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on Aggregate Demand, James Tobin and Willem H. Buiter

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Multicollinearity and Forecasting, Gary Smith

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On Disequilibrium Economic Dynamics. Part I. Microfoundations of Wicksellian Disequilibrium Dynamics, Katsuhito Iwai

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Information in Estimating a Financial Model, Gary Smith and William C. Brainard

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part XVI. Mathematical Models for a Theory of Money and Financial Institutions, Martin Shubik

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Competitive Equilibrium Contingent Commodities and Information, Martin Shubik

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Further Notes on the Misuse of R2, Gary Smith

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Global Analysis and Economics VI. Geometric Analysis of Pareto Optima and Price Equilibria under Classical Hypotheses, Steve Smale

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Okun's Law Revisited, Gary Smith

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Fiscal Capacity, Equalization and Public Expenditure for Education, Susan J. Lepper

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part XVIII. A Noncooperative Model of a Closed Trading Economy with Many Traders and Two Bankers, Martin Shubik

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Equilibrium Wage Distributions, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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The Walrasian and Von Neumann Equilibria: A Comparison, Jerzy Los and Maria Wycech-Los

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Transactions Technology and the Use of Intermediary Agents, Ross M. Starr

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part XV. A Trading Model to Avoid Tatonnement Metaphysics, Martin Shubik

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On the Role of Numbers and Information in Competition, Martin Shubik

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The Moments of the 3SLS Estimates of the Structural Coefficients of a Simultaneous Equation Model, J. D. Sargan

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Towards Keynesian Micro-Dynamics of Price, Wage, Sales and Employment, Katsuhito Iwai

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part XVII. On the Eight Basic Units of a Dynamic Economy with Spot and Futures Markets, Martin Shubik

Submissions from 1973

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part XIII. Trade With Spot Markets, Fiat Money and Internal Banking, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part XII. A Dynamic Economy with Fiat Money without Banking and with and without Production Goods, Martin Shubik

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The General Equilibrium Model is the Wrong Model and a Noncooperative Strategic Process Model is a Satisfactory Model for the Reconciliation of Micro and Macroeconomic Theory, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part XI. Trade with Fiat Money but No Individual Trust. A Preliminary Stage Towards Banking, Martin Shubik

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Regulation of Natural Monopolies and the Fair Rate of Return, Hayne E. Leland

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Production Theory and the Stock Market, Hayne E. Leland

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Acyclic Choice, Donald J. Brown

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The General Equilibrium Model with Joint Ownership of the Corporation (Voting Stock and the Core), Martin Shubik

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Voting, Preference Orderings and Cooperative Games, Martin Shubik

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Some Problems of Centralized Economy, N. N. Noiseev and A. G. Schmidt

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Alternative Theories of Wage Determination and Unemployment in L.D.C.’s: II. The Efficiency Wage Model, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Fiat Money in an Economy with One Nondurable Good and No Credit (A Noncooperative Sequential Game), Martin Shubik and Ward Whitt

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Incentives and Risk-Sharing in Sharecropping, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Some Observations on ‘Optimal’ Economic Growth and Exhaustible Resources, Tjalling C. Koopmans

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The Theory of ‘Screening’, Education, and the Distribution of Income, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Game Theory and Political Science, Martin Shubik

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A Note on the Shape of the Pareto Optimal Surface, Gordon H. Bradley and Martin Shubik

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Money and the Decentralization of Exchange, Joseph M. Ostroy and Ross M. Starr

Submissions from 1972

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Technological Development and Employment, James Tobin

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Information, Duopoly and Competitive Markets: A Sensitivity Analysis, Martin Shubik

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Input Quality, Obsolescence and Unemployment, J. Kirker Stephens

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Social Choice on Pollution Management: The Genossenschaften, Alvin K. Klevorick and Gerald H. Kramer

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Existence of a “Local” Cooperative Equilibrium in a Class of Voting Games, Gerald H. Kramer and Alvin K. Klevorick

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Existence of a Competitive Equilibrium in a Nonstandard Exchange Economy, Donald J. Brown

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Some Further Results on the Measurement of Inequality, Michael Rothschild and Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Voting Behavior and Aggregate Policy Targets, Susan J. Lepper

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Alternative Theories of Wage Determination and Unemployment in L.D.C.’s: I. The Labor Turn-Over Model, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part IX. Competitive and Controlled Price Economies: The Arrow-Debreu Model Revisited, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part VIII. Transactions Costs in a Market Economy, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part VI. The Rate of Interest, Noncooperative Equilibrium and Bankruptcy, Lloyd S. Shapley and Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part V. The Rate of Interest on Fiat Money in a Closed Economy, Martin Shubik

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Benefit-Cost Analysis and Trade Policies, Partha Dasgupta and Joseph E. Stiglitz

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On the Irrelevance of Corporate Financial Policy, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Political Business Cycle, William D. Nordhaus

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Notes on Transactions Costs and the Analysis of Microeconomic Theory, Ross M. Starr

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part IV. Fiat Money and Noncooperative Equilibrium in a Closed Economy, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part VII. Money, Trust and Equilibrium Points in Games in Extensive Form, Martin Shubik

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The Effect of Inflation on the Distribution of Economic Welfare, William D. Nordhaus

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A Comparison of Alternative Estimators for a Dynamic Relationship Estimated from a Time Series of Cross-Sections When the Disturbances Are Small, Jon K. Peck

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A General Equilibrium Calculation of the Effects of Differential Taxation of Income from Capital in the U.S., John B. Shoven and John Whalley

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The Cores of Large Standard Exchange Economies, Donald J. Brown and Abraham Robinson

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The Marginal Revolution After One Hundred Years, Ronald G. Bodkin

Submissions from 1971

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part III. The Missing Degree of Freedom: Commodity Money and Oligopoly in a General Equilibrium Model, Martin Shubik

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Alternative Management of Common Property Resources under Free Access and Private Ownership, Martin L. Weitzman

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A New Measure of Income From Wealth, Donald A. Nichols

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions: Part II. On the Paradox of the Efficient Price System in a Completely Centralized Economy and in a Capitalist Individual Ownership Economy, Martin Shubik

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part I. The General Approach Adopted, Martin Shubik

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Is Growth Obsolete?, William D. Nordhaus and James Tobin

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Competitive Equilibrium and Game Theory Solutions: Part I. The Core and Value, Lloyd S. Shapley and Martin Shubik

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Duality Theory of Convex Programming for Infinite Horizon Economic Models, Martin L. Weitzman

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On the Scope of Gaming, Martin Shubik

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Summary Comment, James Tobin

Wealth, Liquidity, and the Propensity to Consume, James Tobin

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On the Definition and Computation of a Capital Stock Invariant under Optimization, Terje Hansen and Tjalling C. Koopmans

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Systems of Indirect Management in a Planned Economy: Effectiveness Models and Their Applications in Poland, Witold Trzeciakowski

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Friedman's Theoretical Framework, James Tobin

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The Price of Money in a Pure Exchange Monetary Economy, Ross M. Starr

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Wealth, Liquidity, and Consumption, Walter Dolde and James Tobin

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Nonstandard Exchange Economies, Donald J. Brown and Abraham Robinson

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An Estimate of Racial Discrimination in Rental Housing, Thomas King and Peter M. Mieszkowski

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On Transitions Between Steady States, Joseph E. Stiglitz

Submissions from 1970

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Taxation, Risk-Taking, and the Allocation of Investment in a Competitive Economy, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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The Property Tax: An Excise Tax or a Profits Tax?, Peter M. Mieszkowski

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Equilibrium and Demand for Media of Exchange in a Pure Exchange Economy with Transactions Costs, Ross M. Starr

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On Durbin's Test for Serial Correlation in Distributed Lag Models, G. S. Maddala and A. S. Rao

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On the Asymptotic Properties of Certain Two-Step Procedures Commonly Used in the Estimation of Distributed Lag Models, David M. Grether and G. S. Maddala

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The Badly Behaved Economy with the Well Behaved Production Function, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Differential Taxation, Public Goods, and Economic Efficiency, Joseph E. Stiglitz and Partha Dasgupta

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Non-Linear Time Series Regression, E. J. Hannan

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An Econometric Model of Postwar Japan, Fumimasa Hamada

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Recent Developments in Price Dynamics, William D. Nordhaus

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Duopoly with Price and Quantity as Strategic Variables, Richard E. Levitan and Martin Shubik

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Price Duopoly and Capacity Constraints, Richard E. Levitan and Martin Shubik

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The Structure of Exchange in Barter and Monetary Economies, Ross M. Starr

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Aggregation and Disaggregation in the Pure Theory of Capital and Growth: A New Parable, Martin L. Weitzman

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Food Prices in Relation to Income Levels in New York City, Roger E. Alcaly and Alvin K. Klevorick

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On the Existence of a Cooperative Solution for a General Class of N-Person Games, Herbert E. Scarf

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The Estimation of Mixed Regression, Autoregression, Moving Average and Distributed Lag Models, D. F. Nichols

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Time Series Regression with Linear Constraints, E. J. Hannan and R. D. Terrell

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Pecuniary Externalities: A Game Theoretic Analysis, Martin Shubik

Submissions from 1969

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Investment, Savings and Employment in the Long-Run, David M.C. Newbery and A. B. Atkinson

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Material Balances under Uncertainty, Martin L. Weitzman

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On a Class of Equilibrium Conditions for Majority Rule, Gerald H. Kramer

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An Analysis of the Importance of the Malleable Capital Assumption in Optimal Growth Models, David M.C. Newbery

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Distributed Lags, Prediction, and Signal Extraction, David M. Grether

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Borrowing-Lending Interest Rate Differentials and the Time Allocation of Consumption, Thayer H. Watkins

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Economic Aspects of Information, Luigi M. Tomasini

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Money and Income: Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc?, James Tobin

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The Choice of Techniques in a Dual Economy, David M.C. Newbery

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A Fixed Point Algorithm for Approximating the Optimal Solution of a Concave Programming Problem, Terje Hansen

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An Example of an Algorithm for Calculating General Equilibrium Prices, Herbert E. Scarf

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Game Theory, Behavior and the Paradox of the Prisoners Dilemma — 3 Solutions, Martin Shubik

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Increasing Risk: A Definition and Its Economic Consequences, Michael Rothschild and Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Price Variation Duopoly with Differentiated Products and Random Demand, Richard E. Levitan and Martin Shubik

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A Note on a Variance-Components Model Useful in the Study of Cross-Sections over Time, Marc Nerlove

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On the Applications of a Recent Combinatorial Algorithm, Terje Hansen and Herbert E. Scarf

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Optimal Growth with Scale Economies in Overhead Capital, Martin L. Weitzman

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Comparison of k-Class Estimators When the Disturbances Are Small, Joseph B. Kadane

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Risk Aversion Over Time and a Capital-Budgeting Problem, Alvin K. Klevorick

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Shiftable vs. Non-Shiftable Capital: A Synthesis, Martin L. Weitzman

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The “Bridge Game” Economy: An Exam,ple of Indivisibilities, Martin Shubik

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An Economic Theory of Technological Change, William D. Nordhaus

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The Time Allocation of Consumption under Debt Limitations, Thayer H. Watkins

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A Note On Behavior Towards Risk with Many Commodities, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Money and Permanent Income: Some Empirical Tests, James Tobin and Craig Swan

Submissions from 1968

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A Long-Run Cost Function for the Local Service Airline Industry: An Experiment on Non-Linear Estimation, George Eads, Marc Nerlove, and William Raduchel

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Optimal Entrepreneurial Decisions in a Completely Stochastic Environment, Nils H. Hakansson

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Some Properties of “Optimal” Seasonal Adjustment, David M. Grether and Marc Nerlove

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Countably Additive Measures in Cores of Games, Yakar Kannai

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Further Evidence on the Estimation of Dynamic Economic Relations from a Time Series of Cross-Sections, Marc Nerlove

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Soviet Postwar Economic Growth and Capital Labor Substitution, Martin L. Weitzman

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Regularity in the Distribution of Participation in Group Discussions, Joseph B. Kadane and Gordon H. Lewis

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Money Illusion, Price Expectations, and the Aggregate Consumption Function, William H. Branson and Alvin K. Klevorick

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Stochastic Theories of Participation, Joseph B. Kadane, Gordon H. Lewis, and John G. Ramage

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Theory of Liquidity Preference and the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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Lags in Fiscal and Monetary Impacts on Investment in Producers’ Durable Equipment, Charles W. Bischoff

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The Distribution, When the Residuals Are Small, of Statistics Testing Overidentifying Restrictions, Joseph B. Kadane

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A Note on a Simulated Stock Market, Martin Shubik

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Some Experimental Non-Constant-Sum Games Revisited. Perception of Opponent's Payoffs. Part III, Martin Shubik and David H. Stern

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The Effects of Income, Wealth, and Capital Gains Taxation on Risk Taking, Joseph E. Stiglitz

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An Experimental Research in Oligopoly, James W. Friedman