The Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics at Yale University has as its purpose the conduct and encouragement of research in economics. The Cowles Foundation seeks to foster the development and application of rigorous logical, mathematical, and statistical methods of analysis. Among its activities, the Cowles Foundation provides financial support for research, visiting faculty, postdoctoral fellowships, workshops, and graduate students. Cowles regularly sponsors conferences and publishes a working paper series, a reprint series, and monographs.

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Submissions from 1989

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Additive Interactive Regression Models: Circumvention of the Curse of Dimensionality, Donald W.K. Andrews and Yoon-Jae Whang

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Inflationary Expectations and Price Setting Behavior, Ray C. Fair

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Risk Analysis in Economics: An Application to University Finances, William D. Nordhaus

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Full Information Estimation and Stochastic Simulation of Models with Rational Expectations, Ray C. Fair and John B. Taylor

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Warranties, Durability, and Maintenance: Two Sided Moral Hazard in a Continuous-Time Model, Philip H. Dybvig and Nancy A. Lutz

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An Introduction to General Equilibrium with Incomplete Asset Markets, John Geanakoplos

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A Nonparametric Maximum Rank Correlation Estimator, Rosa L. Matzkin

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Existence of Walras Equilibrium without a Price Player of Generalized Game, John Geanakoplos and Pradeep Dubey

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Neighbors of the Origin for Four by Three Matrices, David F. Shallcross

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On Integer Points in Polyhedra: A Lower Bound, Imre Bárány, Roger Howe, and László Lovász

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The Reconciliation of Micro and Macro Economics, Martin Shubik

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An Empirical Process Central Limit Theorem for Dependent Non-Identically Distributed Random Variables, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Asymptotic Optimality of Generalized CL, Cross-Validation, and Generalized Cross-Validation in Regression with Heteroskedastic Errors, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Asymptotics for Semiparametric Econometric Models: I. Estimation, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Asymptotics for Semiparametric Econometric Models: III. Testing and Examples, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Do the Secondary Markets Believe in Life After Debt?, Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou

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Game Theory without Partitions, and Applications to Speculation and Consensus, John Geanakoplos

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Renegotiation and Symmetry in Repeated Games, Dilip Abreu, David G. Pearce, and Ennio Stacchetti

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The Capital Asset Pricing Model as a General Equilibrium with Incomplete Markets, John Geanakoplos and Martin Shubik

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Gold, Liquidity and Secured Loans in a Multi-Stage Economy. Part II. Many Durables, Land and Gold, Martin Shubik and Shuntian Yao

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Market Innovation and Entrepreneurship: A Knightian View, Truman F. Bewley

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Time Series Regression with a Unit Root and Infinite Variance Errors, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Asymptotics for Semiparametric Econometric Models: II. Stochastic Equicontinuity and Nonparametric Kernel Estimation, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Testing for a Unit Root by Generalized Least Squares Methods in the Time and Frequency Domains, In Choi and Peter C.B. Phillips

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The Transactions Cost of Money (A Strategic Game Analysis), Martin Shubik and Shuntian Yao

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Liquidity and Bankruptcy with Incomplete Markets: Pure Exchange, Pradeep Dubey and John Geanakoplos

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The Production Smoothing Model Is Alive and Well, Ray C. Fair

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Repeated Trade and the Velocity of Money, Pradeep Dubey, Siddhartha Sahi, and Martin Shubik

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The Durbin-Watson Ratio under Infinite Variance Errors, Peter C.B. Phillips and Mico Loretan

Submissions from 1988

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Nonparametric Tests of Maximizing Behavior Subject to Nonlinear Sets, Rosa L. Matzkin

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Reflections on Econometric Methodology, Peter C.B. Phillips

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The Interaction of Implicit and Explicit Contracts in Repeated Agenc, David G. Pearce and Ennio Stacchetti

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The Behavior of Home Buyers in Boom and Post-Boom Markets, Robert J. Shiller and Karl E. Case

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The Interaction of Implicit and Explicit Contracts in Repeated Agency, Martin Shubik

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A Little Magic with the Cauchy Distribution, Peter C.B. Phillips

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A New Proof of Knight's Theorem on the Cauchy Distribution, Peter C.B. Phillips

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The Macroeconomics of Government Finance, Michael Haliassos and James Tobin

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Nonparametric and Distribution-Free Estimation of the Binary Choice and the Threshold-Crossing Models, Rosa L. Matzkin

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The Power of Commitment, Chien-fu Chou and John Geanakoplos

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The Shapes of Polyhedra, Ravi Kannan, László Lovász, and Herbert E. Scarf

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Correlated Equilibrium with Generalized Information Structures, Adam Brandenburger, Eddie Dekel, and John Geanakoplos

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Capital Structure and Dividend Irrelevance with Asymmetric Information, Philip H. Dybvig and Jaime F. Zender

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Default and Efficiency in a General Equilibrium Model with Incomplete Markets, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos, and Martin Shubik

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Estimation and Inference in Models of Cointegration: A Simulation Study, Bruce E. Hansen and Peter C.B. Phillips

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Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation, Donald W.K. Andrews

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The Stabilization of the U.S. Economy: Evidence from the Stock Market, Matthew D. Shapiro

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Error Correction and Long Run Equilibrium in Continuous Time, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Spanning, Valuation and Options, Donald J. Brown and Stephen A. Ross

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Spectral Regression for Cointegrated Time Series, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Testing for a Unit Root in the Presence of a Maintained Trend, Sam Ouliaris, Joon Y. Park, and Peter C.B. Phillips

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Asymptotic Normality of Series Estimators for Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regression Models, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Information and Timing in Repeated Partnerships, Dilip Abreu, Paul R. Milgrom, and David G. Pearce

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Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations, Matthew D. Shapiro and Mark W. Watson

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Gold, Liquidity and Secured Loans in a Multistage Economy. Part I: Gold as Money, Martin Shubik and Shuntian Yao

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Knightian Decision Theory and Econometric Inference, Truman F. Bewley

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Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes, Peter C.B. Phillips and Bruce E. Hansen

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Warranties as Signals under Consumer Moral Hazard, Nancy A. Lutz

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A Centered Projective Algorithm for Linear Programming, Michael J. Todd and Yinyu Ye

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Appropriating the Returns from Industrial R&D, Richard C. Levin, Alvin K. Klevorick, Richard R. Nelson, and Sidney G. Winter

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Common Knowledge of Summary Statistics, Adam Brandenburger and John Geanakoplos

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Distributions, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Generic Inefficiency of Stock Market Equilibrium When Markets Are Incomplete, John Geanakoplos, Michael Magill, Martine Quinzii, and Jacques Dréze

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Increases in Risk Aversion and Portfolio Choice in a Complete Market, Philip H. Dybvig

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Nonnegative Wealth, Absence of Arbitrage, and Feasible Consumption Plans, Philip H. Dybvig and Chi-fu Huang

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Optimal Inference in Cointegrated Systems, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Stock Prices, Earnings and Expected Dividends, John Y. Campbell and Robert J. Shiller

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The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts, Ray C. Fair and Robert J. Shiller

Submissions from 1987

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Renegotiation-Proof Equilibria: Collective Rationality and Intertemporal Cooperation, David G. Pearce

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VAR Models as Structural Approximations, Ray C. Fair

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A Note on an Optimal Garnishing Rule, Martin Shubik and Pradeep Dubey

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Investor Behavior in the October 1987 Stock Market Crash: Survey Evidence, Robert J. Shiller

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Multiple Regression with Integrated Time Series, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Prices of Single Family Homes Since 1970: New Indexes for Four Cities, Karl E. Case and Robert J. Shiller

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Inventories, Investment, Inflation and Taxes, James Tobin

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The Noncooperative Equilibria of a Trading Economy with Complete Markets and Consistent Prices, Siddhartha Sahi and Shuntian Yao

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An Aggregative Disequilibrium Model of the U.S. Labour Market, Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou

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Bimodal t-Ratios, Peter C.B. Phillips and Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou

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Partially Identified Econometric Models, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Testing Strictly Concave Rationality, Rosa L. Matzkin and Marcel K. Richter

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The Term Structure of Interest Rates (with U.S. Government Term Structure Data), Robert J. Shiller and J. Huston McCulloch

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Weak Convergence of Sample Covariance Matrices to Stochastic Integrals via Martingale Approximations, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration, Peter C.B. Phillips and Sam Ouliaris

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Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations, Ray C. Fair and Kathryn M. Dominguez

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Joint Distribution Theory for Some Statistics Based on LIML and TSLS, Grant H. Hillier

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Silver and Gold and Liquidity, Martin Shubik

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Valuation and Optimality in Exchange Economies with a Countable Number of Agents, Charalambos D. Aliprantis, Donald J. Brown, and Owen Burkinshaw

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Implementational Issues and Computational Performance Solving Applied General Equilibrium Models with SLCP, Thomas Rutherford

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Knightian Decision Theory, Part II: Intertemporal Problems, Truman F. Bewley

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Equilibria in Exchange Economies with a Countable Number of Agents, Charalambos D. Aliprantis, Donald J. Brown, and Owen Burkinshaw

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Distributional Analysis of Portfolio Choice, Philip H. Dybvig

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Econometric Modeling as Information Aggregation, Ray C. Fair and Robert J. Shiller

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Inference in Econometric Models with Structural Change, Donald W.K. Andrews and Ray C. Fair

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Measuring Market Power in U.S. Industry, Matthew D. Shapiro

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Semiparametric Estimation of Monotonic and Concave Utility Functions: The Discrete Choice Case, Rosa L. Matzkin

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The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1984 Update, Ray C. Fair

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Game Theory. Models of Strategic Behavior and Nuclear Deterrence, Martin Shubik

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Inefficient Dynamic Portfolio Strategies or How to Throw Away a Million Dollars in the Stock Market, Philip H. Dybvig

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Sequential Games of Resource Extraction: Existence of Nash Equilibria, Rabah Amir

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Are Cyclical Fluctuations in Productivity Due More to Supply Shocks or Demand Shocks?, Matthew D. Shapiro

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Spherical Matrix Distributions and Cauchy Quotients, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Supply Shocks in Macroeconomics, Matthew D. Shapiro

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The Future of Social Security: One Economist's Assessment, James Tobin

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Conditional and Unconditional Statistical Independence, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Financial Intermediaries, James Tobin

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Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Macroeconometric Model, Ray C. Fair

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Sources of Output and Price Variability in a Macroeconometric Model, Ray C. Fair

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Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 2, Joon Y. Park and Peter C.B. Phillips

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Ultimate Sources of Aggregate Variability, Robert J. Shiller

Submissions from 1986

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Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 1, Joon Y. Park and Peter C.B. Phillips

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A Strategic Market Game with Complete Markets, Rabah Amir, Siddhartha Sahi, and Martin Shubik

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Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Determination, Ray C. Fair

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International Evidence on the Demand for Money, Ray C. Fair

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The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors, John Y. Campbell and Robert J. Shiller

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A Game Theoretic Approach to the Theory of Money and Financial Institutions, Martin Shubik

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Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale, Ray C. Fair, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Kathryn M. Dominguez

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Knightian Decision Theory: Part 1, Truman F. Bewley

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Enough Commodity Money and the Selection of a Unique Competitive Equilibrium, Martin Shubik

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Testing for Cointegration Using Principal Component Methods, Peter C.B. Phillips and Sam Ouliaris

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The Unique Minimal Cash Flow Competitive Equilibrium, Martin Shubik

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Asymptotic Equivalence of OLS and GLS in Regressions with Integrated Regressors, Peter C.B. Phillips and Joon Y. Park

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On the Formulation of Wald Tests of Nonlinear Restrictions, Peter C.B. Phillips and Joon Y. Park

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Limiting Distributions of the Number of Pure Strategy Nash Equilibria in n-Person Games, Imelda Yeung Powers

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Power in Econometric Applications, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Temporal Dependence in Limited Dependent Variable Models: Theoretical and Monte-Carlo Results, Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou

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Quasirents, Influence and Organization Form, Paul R. Milgrom

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Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression, Peter C.B. Phillips and Pierre Perron

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Weak Convergence to the Matrix Stochastic Integral BdB, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Resources, Technology, and Development: Will the Table Be Bare When Poor Countries Get There?, William D. Nordhaus

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Survey Evidence on Diffusion of Interest Among Institutional Investors, Robert J. Shiller and John Pound

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Consistency in Nonlinear Econometric Models: A Generic Uniform Law of Large Numbers, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Defense Economics and Economic Warfare Revisited, J. Hoult Verkerke and Martin Shubik

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Issues Arising in Management and Control of Naval Forces, Paul Bracken and Martin Shubik

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Toward a Theory of Discounted Repeated Games with Imperfect Monitoring, Dilip Abreu, David G. Pearce, and Ennio Stacchetti

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Trends versus Random Walks in Time Series Analysis, Steven N. Durlauf and Peter C.B. Phillips

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Two Misspecification Tests for the Simple Switching Regressions Disequilibrium Model, Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou

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Best Median Unbiased Estimation in Linear Regression with Bounded Asymmetric Loss Functions, Ray C. Fair

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Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models, John Y. Campbell and Robert J. Shiller

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Edgeworth Equilibria in Production Economies, Charalambos D. Aliprantis, Donald J. Brown, and Owen Burkinshaw

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The Share Economy: A Symposium, William D. Nordhaus and Andrew John

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Towards a Unified Asymptotic Theory for Autoregression, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Towards a Unified Asymptotic Theory for Autoregression, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Regression Theory for Near-Integrated Time Series, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Regression Theory for Near-Integrated Time Series, Peter C.B. Phillips

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The Monetary-Fiscal Mix: Long-Run Implications, James Tobin

Submissions from 1985

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Auction Theory, Paul R. Milgrom

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Comparative Statics and Local Indeterminacy in OLG Economies: An Application of the Multiplicative Ergodic Theorem, John Geanakoplos and Donald J. Brown

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On Finitely Repeated Games and Pseudo-Nash Equilibria, Chien-fu Chou and John Geanakoplos

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The Uses, Value and Limitation of Game Theoretic Methods in Defense Analysis, Martin Shubik

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Walrasian Indeterminacy and Keynesian Macroeconomics, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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Asymptotic Results for Generalized Wald Tests, Donald W.K. Andrews

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A Theory of Hierarchies Based on Limited Managerial Attention, John Geanakoplos and Paul R. Milgrom

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Forecasting Efficiency: Concepts and Applications, William D. Nordhaus

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Fractional Matrix Calculus and the Distribution of Multivariate Tests, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes, Peter C.B. Phillips and Steven N. Durlauf

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Neoclassical Theory in America: J. B. Clark and Fisher, James Tobin

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Random Cell Chi-Square Diagnostic Tests for Econometric Models: I. Introduction and Applications, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Random Cell Chi-Square Diagnostic Tests for Econometric Models: II. Theory, Donald W.K. Andrews

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The Many Properties of Money: A Strategic Market Game Analysis, Martin Shubik

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The Term Structure of Euromarket Interest Rates: An Empirical Investigation, John Y. Campbell and Richard H. Clarida

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Asymptotic Expansions in Nonstationary Vector Autoregressions, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Existence, Regularity, and Constrained Suboptimality of Competitive Allocations When the Asset Market Is Incomplete, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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Sections and Extensions of Concave Functions, Roger Howe

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On the Performance of Least Squares in Linear Regression with Undefined Error Means, Donald W.K. Andrews

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A Characterization of Globally Optimal Paths in the Non-Classical Growth Model, Rabah Amir

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Edgeworth Equilibria, Charalambos D. Aliprantis, Donald J. Brown, and Owen Burkinshaw

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Enough Gold in a Society without and with Money-Lenders, Martin Shubik

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Understanding Spurious Regressions in Econometrics, Peter C.B. Phillips

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A Model of a Sudden-Death Field-Goal Football Game as a Sequential Duel, Siddhartha Sahi and Martin Shubik

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International Lending and Borrowing in a Stochastic Sequence Equilibrium, Richard H. Clarida

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Mass Economies with Vital Small Coalitions; The f-Core Approach, Peter J. Hammond, Mamoru Kaneko, and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Real Indeterminacy with Financial Assets, John Geanakoplos and Andreu Mas-Colell

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Relying on the Information of Interested Parties, Paul R. Milgrom and John Roberts

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Some Three Person Games in Coalitional Form for Teaching and Experimentation, Martin Shubik

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The Numeraire, Money and the Missing Degree of Freedom, Martin Shubik

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The Use of Simple Games to Illustrate Concepts and to Provide Experimental Evidence, Martin Shubik

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Aggregation and Linearity in the Provision of Intertemporal Incentives, Bengt Holmstrom and Paul R. Milgrom

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An Axiomatization of Utility and Subjective Probability Based on Objective Probability, Mamoru Kaneko

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Coordinating Coordination Failures in Keynesian Models, Russell Cooper and John Andrew

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Coordinating Coordination Failures in Keynesian Models, Russell Cooper and Andrew John

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Do We Reject Too Often? Small Sample Bias in Tests of Rational Expectations, N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew D. Shapiro

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The Balance of Payments Adjustment Mechanism in a Rational Expectations Equilibrium, Richard H. Clarida

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The Distribution of FIML in the Leading Case, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Time Series Regression with a Unit Root, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Time Series Regression with a Unit Root, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Two Stage and Related Estimators and Their Applications, Adrian Pagan

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Asymptotic Results for Generalized Wald Tests, Donald W.K. Andrews

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An Unbiased Reexamination of Stock Market Volatility, N. Gregory Mankiw, David Romer, and Matthew D. Shapiro

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Capital Utilization and Capital Accumulation: Theory and Evidence, Matthew D. Shapiro

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Risk and Return: Consumption Beta Versus Market Beta, N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew D. Shapiro

Submissions from 1984

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A Note on the Unbiasedness of Feasible GLS, Quasi-Maximum Likelihood, Robust Adaptive, and Spectral Estimators of the Linear Model, Donald W.K. Andrews

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A Note on the Unbiasedness of Feasible GLS, Quasi-Maximum Likelihood, Robust Adaptive, and Spectral Estimators of the Linear Model, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Games with Perceptive Commanders But Less Perceptive Subordinates, Martin Shubik

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On a General Existence Theorem for Marginal Cost Pricing Equilibria, Donald J. Brown, Geoffrey M. Heal, M. Ali Khan, and Rajiv Vohra

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Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Power versus Frequency of Observation, Robert J. Shiller and Pierre Perron

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A Note on Enough Money in a Strategic Market Game with Complete or Fewer Markets, Martin Shubik

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Managerial Incentives and Capital Management, Bengt Holmstrom and Joan E. Ricart-Costa

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The Dynamic Demand for Capital and Labor, Matthew D. Shapiro

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The Exact Distribution of the Wald Statistic: The Non-Central Case, Peter C.B. Phillips and Sam Ouliaris

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A Mean-Variance Approach to Fundamental Valuations, James Tobin

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Expansionary Government Policy in an Economy with Commodity and Labor, Russell Cooper

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Neighborhood Systems for Production Sets with Indivisibilities, Herbert E. Scarf

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Optimal Cartel Equilibria with Imperfect Monitoring, Dilip Abreu, David G. Pearce, and Ennio Stacchetti

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Strategic Market Games: A Dynamic Programming Application to Money, Banking and Insurance, Martin Shubik

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An Everywhere Convergent Series Representation of the Distribution of Hotelling's Generalized T 2^0, Peter C.B. Phillips

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An Everywhere Convergent Series Representation of the Distribution of Hotellings Generalized T 2^0, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Testing for Serial Correlation and Unit Roots Using a Computer Function Routine Based on ERA's, Peter C.B. Phillips and Peter C. Reiss

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The Exact Distribution of the Wald Statistic, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Trends, Random Walks, and Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis, N. Gregory Mankiw and Matthew D. Shapiro

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Empirical Tests of the Rationality of Economic Forecasters: A Fixed Horizons Approach, William D. Nordhaus and Steven N. Durlauf

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Empirical Tests of the Rationality of Economic Forecasters: A Fixed Horizons Approach, William D. Nordhaus and Steven N. Durlauf

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General Equilibrium with Wage Rigidities: An Application to Belgium, Victor Ginsburgh and Ludo Van der Heyden

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I and First and Second Scenarios (A Sensitivity Analysis), Paul Bracken, Moshe Haviv, Martin Shubik, and Ulrich Tulowitzki

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Plausible Outcomes for Games in Strategic Form, Martin Shubik

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Product Warranties and Double Moral Hazard, Russell Cooper and Thomas W. Ross

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Stock Prices and Social Dynamics, Robert J. Shiller

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Stock Prices and Social Dynamics, Robert J. Shiller

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The Many Approaches to the Study of Monopolistic Competition, Martin Shubik

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The Use of Expected Future Variables in Macroeconometric Models, Ray C. Fair

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Stability Comparisons of Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Estimated Trade-Offs between Unemployment and Inflation, Ray C. Fair

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Job Discrimination, Market Forces and the Invisibility Hypothesis, Paul R. Milgrom and Sharon Oster

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Job Discrimination, Market Forces and the Invisibility Hypothesis, Paul R. Milgrom and Sharon Oster

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Price and Advertising Signals of Product Quality, Paul R. Milgrom and John Roberts

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Stability Comparisons of Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Stability Comparisons of Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews

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A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models: Further Results, Ray C. Fair and Lewis S. Alexander

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A General Equilibrium Expression of the Paradox of Thrift, Christophe Chamley

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Consumption, Liquidity Constraints and Asset Accumulation in the Presence of Random Income Fluctuations, Richard H. Clarida

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Optimal Spending and Money Holdings in the Presence of Liquidity Constraints and Random Income Fluctuations, Richard H. Clarida

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The Cooperative Form, the Value and the Allocation of Joint Costs and Benefits, Martin Shubik

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A Comparison of the Michigan and Fair Models, Ray C. Fair and Lewis S. Alexander

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Conditional Projection by Means of Kalman Filtering, Richard H. Clarida and Diane Coyle

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On the Stochastic Steady-State Behavior of Optimal Asset Accumulation in the Presence of Random Wage Fluctuations and Incomplete Markets, Richard H. Clarida

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Optimal Taxation of Capital Income in Economies with Identical Private and Social Discount Rates, Christophe Chamley

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A Note on Biology, Time and the Golden Rule, Martin Shubik

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A Zero-One Result for the Least Squares Estimator, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Current Account, Exchange Rate, and Monetary Dynamics in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model, Richard H. Clarida

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Robust Estimation of Location in a Gaussian Parametric Model: II, Donald W.K. Andrews

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The Behavior of U.S. Short-Term Interest Rates Since October 1979, Richard H. Clarida and Benjamin M. Friedman

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Effects of Expected Future Government Deficits on Current Economic Activity, Ray C. Fair

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Excess Labor and the Business Cycle, Ray C. Fair

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Insurance, Flexibility and Non-contingent Trades, Russell Cooper

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Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a General Equilibrium Model, Truman F. Bewley

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Monopoly Provision of Product Quality with Uninformed Buyers, Russell Cooper and Thomas W. Ross

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Net Present Value Maximization and Imperfections in the Loan Market: A Note, Cynthia Van Hulle

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On a Variable Dimension Algorithm for the Linear Complementarity Problem, Ludo Van der Heyden

Submissions from 1983

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Dominance and Shareholder Unanimity: A New Approach, Cynthia Van Hulle

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Stochastic Equilibrium and Turnpike Property: The Discounted Case, Ramon Marimon

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The Optimality of Regulated Pricing: A General Equilibrium Analysis” AND “An Optimal Tax Rule for Average Cost Pricing, Donald J. Brown and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Finite Sample Econometrics Using ERA's, Peter C.B. Phillips

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The Exact Distribution of the Stein-Rule Estimator, Peter C.B. Phillips

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A Note on the “Corelessness” of Antibalance of a Game, Martin Shubik and Shlomo Weber

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Intertemporally Separable Overlapping Generations Economies, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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On University Education in Econometrics: Remarks on an Article by Eric R. Sowey, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Information Patterns and Nash Equilibria in Extensive Games, Pradeep Dubey and Mamoru Kaneko

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Multimarket Oligopoly, Jeremy I. Bulow, John Geanakoplos, and Paul D. Klemperer

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The Exact Distribution of Zellner's SUR, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Organizing Production in a Large Economy with Costly Communication, Paul R. Milgrom and Robert J. Weber

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The Exact Distribution of Exogenous Variable Coefficient Estimators, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Forward Rates and Future Policy: Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Robert J. Shiller, John Y. Campbell, and Kermit L. Schoenholtz

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Linear Complementarity and the Average Volume of Simplicial Cones, Roger Howe

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Macroeconomics under Debate, James Tobin

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Profit-Sharing in a Collusive Industry, Martin J. Osborne and Carolyn Pitchik

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Worker Asymmetric Information and Involuntary Unemployment, Russell Cooper

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Multiperiod Insurance Contracts, Russell Cooper and Beth Hayes

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Fiscal Incidence in a Dynamic Life-Cycle Model with Land, Christophe Chamley

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A Strategic Market Game with Transaction Costs, J. D. Rogawski and Martin Shubik

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Blockmodeling Complex Statutes: Mapping Techniques Based on Combinatorial Optimization for Analyzing Economic Legislation and Its Stress Points over Time, Scott A. Boorman and Paul R. Levitt

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First Order Autoregressive Processes and Strong Mixing, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Strategic Resource Extraction: When Easy Doesn't Do It, Jeremy I. Bulow and John Geanakoplos

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Monetary Policies with Increasing Returns, Graciela Chichilnisky and Geoffrey M. Heal

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The Exact Distribution of LIML: II, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Predetermined Prices and the Allocation of Social Risks, Costas Azariadis and Russell Cooper

Submissions from 1982

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Global Stability in a Class of Markets with Three Commodities and Three Consumers, Masayoshi Hirota

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Marginal Versus Average Cost Pricing in the Presence of a Public Monopoly, Donald J. Brown and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Near-Markets and Market Games, Martin Shubik and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Optimal Labor Contracts and the Role of Monetary Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model, Russell Cooper

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The Exact Distribution of LIML: I, Peter C.B. Phillips

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A Geometric Explanation of the Transfer Paradox in a Stable Economy, John Geanakoplos and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Investment Versus Savings Incentives: The Size of the Bang for the Buck and the Potential for Self-Financing Business Tax Cuts, Alan J. Auerbach and Laurence Kotlikoff

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Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games: A Critique of Rational Expectations, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos, and Martin Shubik

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Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games: A Critique of Rational Expectations, Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos, and Martin Shubik

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Robust and Asymptotically Efficient Estimation of Location in a Stationary Strong Mixing Gaussian Parametric Model, Donald W.K. Andrews

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Scarf's Procedure for Integer Programming and a Dual Simplex Algorithm, Philip M. White, Andrew S. Caplin, and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Stable Disequilibrium Prices: Macroeconomics and Increasing Returns I, Geoffrey M. Heal

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On Allocative Distortions in Problems of Self-Selection, Russell Cooper

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The Structure of Social Risk, William D. Nordhaus and Steven N. Durlauf

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Core and Competitive Equilibria with Indivisibilities, Martine Quinzii

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ERA's: A New Approach to Small Sample Theory, Peter C.B. Phillips

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On the Disaggregation of Excess Demand Functions, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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Utility Functions for Debreu's ‘Excess Demands', John Geanakoplos

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Don't Bet on It, John Geanakoplos and James K. Sebenius

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Failure of the Alternation Theorem in Rational Approximation over C_0 (-infinity,infinity), Peter C.B. Phillips

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Information Processing and Jury Decision making, Alvin K. Klevorick, Michael Rothschild, and Christopher Winship

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On Implicit Contracts and Involuntary Unemployment, John Geanakoplos and Takatoshi Ito

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The Distribution of Matrix Quotients, Peter C.B. Phillips

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We Can't Disagree Forever, John Geanakoplos and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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A Bookmaker or Market Type Test for Specification in Discrete Choice Models, John J. Beggs

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Integral Polyhedra in Three Space, Herbert E. Scarf

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Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria in a Private Goods Economy, Pradeep Dubey and J. D. Rogawski

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Equilibria for a Three-Person Location Problem, Martin J. Osborne and Carolyn Pitchik

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Information About Moves in Extensive Games: II, Pradeep Dubey and Mamoru Kaneko

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Stochastic Games I: Foundations, Curt Alfred Monash

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Stochastic Games II: The Minmax Theorem, Curt Alfred Monash

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Exact Small Sample Theory in the Simultaneous Equations Model, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria: I, Pradeep Dubey and J. D. Rogawski

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Information About Moves in Extensive Games: I, Pradeep Dubey and Mamoru Kaneko

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Naval Procurement Problems: Theory and Practice, Zvi A. Livne and Martin Shubik

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On the Exact Distribution of LIML, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Approximate Cores of a General Class of Economies: Part II. Set-Up Costs and Firm Formation in Coalition Production Economies, Martin Shubik and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Approximate Cores of a General Class of Economies. Part I: Replica Games, Externalities, and Approximate Cores, Martin Shubik and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Cores of Partitioning Games, Mamoru Kaneko and Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Macroeconomics and Fiscal Policy: Paul A. Samuelson and Modern Economics, James Tobin

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Small Sample Distribution Theory in Econometric Models of Simultaneous Equations, Peter C.B. Phillips

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How Fast Should We Graze the Global Commons?, William D. Nordhaus

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The Conventionally Stable Sets in Noncooperative Games With Limited Observations: The Application to Monopoly and Oligopoly, Mamoru Kaneko

Submissions from 1981

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Entrepreneurial Abilities and Liabilities in a Model of Self-Selection, Christophe Chamley

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Money and Finance in the Macro-Economic Process, James Tobin

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Payoffs in Non-Atomic Economies: An Axiomatic Approach, Pradeep Dubey and Abraham Neyman

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The Epsilon Core of a Large Game, Myrna Holtz Wooders

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Macroconfusion: The Dilemmas of Economic Policy, William D. Nordhaus

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A New Approach to Small Sample Theory, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Game Theory: The Language of Strategy?, Martin Shubik

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Marginal Densities of Instrumental Variable Estimators in the General Single Equation Case, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Some Remarks on the Folk Theorem in Game Theory, Mamoru Kaneko

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Asset Markets, General Equilibrium and the Neutrality of Money, Christophe Chamley and Heracles M. Polemarchakis

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Economic Policy in the Face of Declining Productivity Growth, William D. Nordhaus

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Algorithms for the Linear Complementarity Problem Which Allow an Arbitrary Starting Point, Dolf A.J.J Talman and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Schumpeterian Dynamics I. An Evolutionary Model of Innovation and Imitation, Katsuhito Iwai

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Schumpeterian Dynamics II. Technological Progress, Firm Growth and ‘Economic Selection', Katsuhito Iwai

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The Conventionally Stable Sets in Noncooperative Games with Limited Observations: Definitions and Introductory Arguments, Mamoru Kaneko

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The Optimal Progressive Income Tax — The Existence and the Limit Tax Rates, Mamoru Kaneko

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On the Infinite Welfare Cost of Inflation and Other Second Order Effects, Christophe Chamley

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Approximate Equilibria with Bounds Independent of Preferences, Robert M. Anderson, M. Ali Khan, and Salim Rashid

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Arbitrage Pricing Theory in a Finite Economy, John J. Beggs

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Estimated Effects of Relative Prices on Trade Shares, Ray C. Fair

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Efficient Stationary Taxation and Intertemporal General Equilibrium, Christophe Chamley and Douglas Downing

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Mandatory Retirement Saving and Capital Formation, Walter Dolde and James Tobin

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Market Structure in the ‘Research and Development’ Phase, John J. Beggs

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Estimated Output, Price, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Linkages Among Countries, Ray C. Fair

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Interest Rate Policies and Informational Efficiency, Laurence Weiss

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Ratio Equilibrium in an Economy with an Externality, Yozo Ito and Mamoru Kaneko

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Strong Core Theorems with Nonconvex Preferences, Robert M. Anderson

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The Dynamic Interaction between Industry Level Profits and Research and Development, John J. Beggs

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An Empirical Note on the Disposition of U.S. Corporations to Undertake Research and Development Expenditures, John J. Beggs

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Cake Slicing and Revealed Government Preference, John J. Beggs and Samuel Strong

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Existence of Equilibrium in a Hyperfinite Exchange Economy: I and II, Donald J. Brown and Lucinda M. Lewis

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Marginal Cost Pricing, Taxation and Subsidies in Urban Transport, John J. Beggs

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Properties of Manipulative Government Forecasts, John J. Beggs

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The Demand for Telephone Services in Australia and the Welfare Implications of Alternative Pricing Policies, John J. Beggs

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Core Theory with Strongly Convex Preferences, Robert M. Anderson

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Duopoly with Differentiated Products and Entry Barriers, Kofi O. Nti and Martin Shubik

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Equilibria of a Two-Person Non-Zero Sum Noisy Game of Timing, Carolyn Pitchik

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Society, Land, Love or Money (A Strategic Model of How to Glue the Generations Together), Martin Shubik

Submissions from 1980

On the Behavior of Inconsistent Instrumental Variable Estimators, Esfandiar Maasoumi and Peter C.B. Phillips

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Additively Decompable Quasiconvex Functions, Gerard Debreu and Tjalling C. Koopmans

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A Market Value Approach to Approximate Equilibria, Robert M. Anderson

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Characteristic Functions and the Tail Behavior of Probability Distributions, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Housing Market with Indivisibility, Mamoru Kaneko

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National Savings, Economic Welfare, and the Structure of Taxation, Alan J. Auerbach and Laurence Kotlikoff

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On the Consistency of Non-Linear FIML, John J. Beggs

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Person Game, Ludo Van der Heyden

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The Adequacy of Savings, Laurence Kotlikoff, Avia Spivak, and Lawrence H. Summers

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A Necessary and Sufficient Condition for the Nonemptiness of the Cores of Partitioning Games, Mamoru Kaneko

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Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models, Ray C. Fair and John B. Taylor

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The Central Assignment Game and the Assignment Markets, Mamoru Kaneko

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Thinking About Carbon Dioxide: Theoretical and Empirical Aspects of Optimal Control Strategies, William D. Nordhaus

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Best Uniform Approximation to Probability Densities in Econometrics, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Distribution, Peter C.B. Phillips

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On a Lemma of Amemiya, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Heterogeneous Information and the Theory of the Business Cycle, Sanford Grossman and Laurence Weiss

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Perfect or Robust Noncooperative Equilibrium: A Search for the Philosophers Stone?, Martin Shubik

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Extension of a Dynamical Model of Political Equilibrium, Gerald H. Kramer

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Intergenerational Political Economy (A Game Theoretic Model of How to Glue the Generations Together), Martin Shubik

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Policy Responses to the Productivity Slowdown, William D. Nordhaus

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A Model of Output, Employment, Capital Formation and Inflation, R. W. Bailey, Viv B. Hall, and Peter C.B. Phillips

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An Extension of the Nash Bargaining Problem: Introducing Time-Related Bargaining Costs, Zvi A. Livne

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Incentive Arbitration and Time-Related Bargaining Costs, Zvi A. Livne

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Linear Complementarity and the Degree of Mappings, Roger Howe

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Optimal Intertemporal Taxation and the Public Debt, Christophe Chamley

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The Welfare Cost of Capital Income Taxation in a Growing Economy, Christophe Chamley

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A Model of U.S. Financial and Nonfinancial Economic Behavior, David Backus James Tobin, William C. Brainard, Gary Smith, and James Tobin

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An Application of the KhachianShor Algorithm to a Class of Linear Complementary Problems, Ilan Adler, Richard P. McLean, and J. Scott Provan

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Output Supply, Employment, and Intra-Industry Wage Dispersion, Philip H. Dybvig and Gerald David Jaynes

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Weakly Democratic Regular Tax Equilibria in a Local Public Goods Economy with Perfect Consumer Mobility, Donald K. Richter

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Exploitation and Class: Part II, Capitalist Economy, John E. Roemer

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Inequality, Exploitation, Justice and Socialism: A Theoretical-Historical Approach, John E. Roemer

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Rawlsian Justice as the Core of a Game, John E. Roemer and Roger Howe

Submissions from 1979

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A Multicountry Econometric Model, Ray C. Fair

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A Multicountry Econometric Model, Ray C. Fair

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Some Relationships between Discrete and Continuous Models of an Urban Economy, Richard P. McLean and Thomas J. Muench

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On the Tendency Toward Convexity of the Vector Sum of Sets, Roger Howe

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An Algorithm for FIML and 3SLS Estimation of Large Nonlinear Models, William R. Parke

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Morse Programs, Okitsugu Fujiwara

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The Spending Behavior of Wealth- and Liquidity-Constrained Consumers, Kim Kowalewski and Gary Smith

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Competitive Bidding and Proprietary Information, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans and Robert J. Weber

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Disequilibrium Models of Financial Institutions, Gary Smith and William C. Brainard

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How Should We Revise Our Beliefs about Nuclear Power Safety after Three Mile Island?, William D. Nordhaus

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Information Aggregation and Policy, Laurence Weiss

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“On the Relation of Various Reliability Measures to Each Other and to Game Theoretic Values, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans and David R. Strip

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Tax-Based Incomes Policies: A Better Mousetrap?, William D. Nordhaus

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The Design of Distributed Service Systems, David R. Strip and Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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The Energy Crisis and Macroeconomic Policy, William D. Nordhaus

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The ALEP Definition of Complementarity and Least Concave Utility Functions, Yakar Kannai

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Most Convex Functions are Smooth, Roger Howe

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Production Sets with Indivisibilities: Generalities and the Case of Two Variables, Herbert E. Scarf

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Stochastic Games, Oligopoly Theory and Competitive Resource Allocation, Martin Shubik and Matthew J. Sobel

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A Strategic Market Game with Price and Quantity Strategies, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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On the Non-Existence of Multiplicative Equilibrium Bidding Strategies, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans and Robert J. Weber

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The Short-Run Macroeconomics of Floating Exchange Rates: An Exposition, James Tobin and Jorge B. de Macedo

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An Even More Elementary ‘Calculus’ Proof of the Brouwer Fixed Point Theorem, Yakar Kannai

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Full Information Estimates of a Nonlinear Macroeconometric Model, Ray C. Fair and William R. Parke

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Price-Quantity Strategic Market Games, Pradeep Dubey

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An Index Theorem for General Equilibrium Models with Production, Timothy J. Kehoe

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Cooperative Game Solutions: Australian, Indian and U.S. Opinions, Martin Shubik

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Value Theory without Efficiency, Pradeep Dubey, Abraham Neyman, and Robert J. Weber

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Market Induced Welfare Optima, Rolf R. Mantel

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Subjectivity in the Valuation of Games, Robert J. Weber

Submissions from 1978

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Fiscal and Monetary Policies, Capital Formation, and Economic Activity, Willem H. Buiter and James Tobin

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A Model of Stochastic Equilibrium in a Quasi-Competitive Industry, John Sutton

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An Estimate of the Uncertainty of Policy Effects in a Macro-economic Model, Ray C. Fair

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Balance of Payments and the Foreign Exchange Market: A Dynamic Partial Equilibrium Model, Pentti J.K. Kouri

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Finiteness and Inefficiency of Nash Equilibria, Pradeep Dubey

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A Proposal for International Monetary Reform, James Tobin

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Economics among the Sciences, Tjalling C. Koopmans

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Equity, Efficiency and Increasing Returns, Donald J. Brown and Geoffrey M. Heal

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Government Deficits and Capital Accumulation, James Tobin

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Multiplicative Bidding and Convergence to Equilibrium, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Nash Equilibria of Market Games: II. Finiteness, Pradeep Dubey

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The Capital Stock Modified Competitive Equilibrium, Martin Shubik

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The Optimal Payment of Unemployment Insurance Benefits over Time, Steven Shavell and Laurence Weiss

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A Model for the Distribution of the Number of Bidders in an Auction, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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A Model of International Trade and Finance, Laurence Weiss

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An Example of a Multi-Object Auction Game, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Auctions and Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Auctions and Bidding Models: A Survey, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Bidding in Auctions with Multiplicative Lognormal Errors: An Example, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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Comparison of Public Choice Systems, Robert J. Weber

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Debt Neutrality: A Brief Review of Doctrine and Evidence, Willem H. Buiter and James Tobin

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An Analysis of the Accuracy of Four Macroeconometric Models, Ray C. Fair

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An Integrated Model of Household Flow-of-Funds Allocations, David Backus and Douglas D. Purvis

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The Role for Active Monetary Policy in a Rational Expectations Model, Laurence Weiss

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A Modeling System for Applied General Equilibrium Analysis, Thomas Rutherford

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Profitability and Growth in a Small Open Economy, Pentti J.K. Kouri

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A Note on the Saddlepoint Approximation in the First Order Non-Circular Autoregression, Peter C.B. Phillips

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Exchange Rates and the International Adjustment Process, Pentti J.K. Kouri and Jorge B. de Macedo

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Systems Defense Games: Colonel Blotto, Command and Control, Martin Shubik and Robert J. Weber

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The Structure of Neutral Monotonic Social Functions, Julian H. Blau and Donald J. Brown

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 37. The Profit Maximizing Firm: Managers and Stockholders, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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Competitive Valuation of Cooperative Games, Martin Shubik and Robert J. Weber

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On ‘On the Foundations of the Theory of Monopolistic Competition', Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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The Transition from Exhaustible to Renewable or Inexhaustible Resources, Tjalling C. Koopmans

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A Model of the Jury Decision Process, Alvin K. Klevorick and Michael Rothschild

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Estimating the Expected Predictive Accuracy of Econometric Models, Ray C. Fair

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Myopic Economic Agents, Donald J. Brown and Lucinda M. Lewis

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The Nucleolus as a Noncooperative Game Solution, Martin Shubik and H. P. Young

Submissions from 1977

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Modelling the Choice of Residential Location, Daniel McFadden

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Game Theory Models and Methods in Political Economy, Martin Shubik

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Nash Equilibria of Market Games: I. Existence and Convergence, Pradeep Dubey

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Probabilistic Values for Games, Pradeep Dubey and Robert J. Weber

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Probabilistic Values for Games, Pradeep Dubey and Robert J. Weber

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Quantitative Methods for Analyzing Travel Behaviour of Individuals: Some Recent Developments, Daniel McFadden

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The Computation of Equilibrium Prices: An Exposition, Herbert E. Scarf

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The Effects of Money Supply on Economic Welfare in the Steady State, Laurence Weiss

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Information Conditions, Communication and General Equilibrium, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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On Modeling the Economic Linkages Among Countries, Ray C. Fair

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Sealed Bid Auctions with Non-Additive Bid Functions, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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The Greedy Heuristic Applied to a Class of Set Partitioning and Subset Selection Problems, Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans

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The Long Run Implications of an IS-LM Simulation Model, Gary Smith

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The Long Run Implications of a Two Sector Model with Immobile Capital, Gary Smith

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions, Martin Shubik

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Deficit Spending and Crowding Out in Shorter and Longer Runs, James Tobin

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The Long Run Consequences of Monetary and Fiscal Policies When the Governments Budget Is Not Balanced, Gary Smith

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An Analysis of a Macroeconometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets, Ray C. Fair

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Equilibrium and Disequilibrium Interpretations of the IS-LM Model, Gary Smith

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Strategic Market Games: A Sketch of an Approach to the theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Together with an Informal Guide to Some Papers, Martin Shubik

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How Dead is Keynes?, James Tobin

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Modeling Technological Change: Use of Mathematical Programming Models in the Energy Sector, William D. Nordhaus and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Monetary Policies and the Economy — The Transmission Mechanism, James Tobin

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 22. A Price-Quantity Buy-Sell Market with and without Contingent Bids, Martin Shubik

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A Model of the Balance of Payments, Ray C. Fair

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An Observation on the Structure of Production Sets with Indivisibilities, Herbert E. Scarf

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 36. The Money Rate of Interest (A Multiperiod Nonatomic Trading and Production Economy with Outside Money, Inside Money and Optimal Bankruptcy Rules), Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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Policy Effects in a Model of the Balance of Payments, Ray C. Fair

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An Extension of the Brown-Robinson Equivalence Theorem, Donald J. Brown and M. Ali Khan

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A Shortrun Macroeconomic Model of an Open Economy, Gary Smith

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A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. Part 35. Bankruptcy and Optimality in a Closed Trading Mass Economy Modelled As a Noncooperative Game, Pradeep Dubey and Martin Shubik

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Logrolling and Budget Allocation Games, Martin Shubik and Ludo Van der Heyden

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Noncooperative Exchange with a Continuum of Traders, Pradeep Dubey and Lloyd S. Shapley

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The Sensitivity of Fiscal-Policy Effects to Assumptions about the Behavior of the Federal Reserve, Ray C. Fair

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What is the Value of Advanced Nuclear Power?, William D. Nordhaus

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Can the Government Affect Real Output?: A Critique of Models with Rational Expectations, Ray C. Fair

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Strategies for the Control of Carbon Dioxide, William D. Nordhaus