Identifier

1111

Document Type

Discussion Paper

Date of Paper

Winter 12-17-2024

Abstract

India’s GDP per capita grew threefold between 1987 and 2019, coinciding with rapid urbanization. During this period, female labor force participation (FLFP) declined significantly. Consistent with this observation, we document a pronounced urban-rural participation gap, where FLFP is higher in poorer, rural labor markets. Using time-use data, we show that this is primarily driven by an extensive margin: in rural districts, women often engage in part-time activities, typically related to agriculture and informal family businesses. These activities are less common in urban areas, where some women take formal jobs, but a larger share withdraws from the labor market to focus on home production. We propose and estimate a model of household labor supply that aligns with these trends. The main drivers of the urban-rural participation gap are higher spousal incomes in cities, which reduce the marginal utility of female labor, and labor market distortions that depress women’s urban wages below their marginal product. Counterfactual simulations show that economic growth is unlikely to provide a sharp reversal of this trend in future decades unless it is accompanied by changes in gender norms and labor market institutions.

Acknowledgements

We thank the Development Policy and Finance team at the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Tobin Center for Economic Policy at Yale University for funding. This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship under Grant No. (NSF grant number DGE-2139841). Youdan Zhang and Carmen Arbaizar Mazas provided outstanding research assistance.

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