Authors

James Tobin

Document Type

Discussion Paper

Publication Date

9-1-1992

CFDP Number

1030R

CFDP Revision Date

1993-05-01

CFDP Pages

35

Abstract

This survey concludes that general prosperity and economic growth have been considerably less powerful engines of progress against poverty in the U.S. than they were before 1973. Macroeconomic performance has deteriorated, and its relation to poverty has weakened too. It is shown that the incidence of poverty can be fairly well explained by regressions on unemployment rates and real wages, both in national time series and in state cross-sections. Recent downward deviations from these regressions appear to reflect structural labor market changes that make poverty less treatable by macro medicine.

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Economics Commons

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