The Yale Labor Survey (YLS) uses online panels to estimate the state of the US labor market in real time. It is designed to parallel the US government’s monthly labor force survey and present weekly information rapidly and inexpensively. Using an experimental design, the YLS estimates that the US unemployment rate peaked in late April and improved substantially by mid-June. The YLS unemployment rate in mid-June is estimated to be 15%, down about 2 percentage points from mid-May.
Foote, Christopher; Nordhaus, William D.; and Rivers, Douglas, "Work in the Time of COVID: Results from the Yale Labor Survey" (2020). Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers. 4.