Document Type
Discussion Paper
Publication Date
3-2026
CFDP Number
2450R1
CFDP Pages
104
Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) Code(s)
N/A
Abstract
Many economic parameters are identified by “thin sets” (submanifolds with Lebesgue measure zero) and hence difficult to recover from data in an ambient space. This paper provides a unified theory for estimation and inference of such “thin-set” identified functionals. We show that thin sets are not equally thin: their intrinsic dimensionality m matters in a precise manner. For a nonparametric regression h0 with Hölder smoothness s and d-dimensional covariates in the ambient space, we show that n^{-s/(2s+d−m)} is the minimax optimal rate of estimating linear and nonlinear (e.g., quadratic, upper contour) integrals of h0 on an m-dimensional submanifold (0 ≤ m < d), which is the fastest possible attainable rate among all estimators. The minimax lower bound rate result is generalized to estimating submanifold integrals when h0 is a nonparametric density and a nonparametric instrumental variable function. The asymptotic normality of t statistics is established via sieve Riesz representation, and the corresponding inference is computed using Sobol points.
Recommended Citation
Chen, Xiaohong and Gao, Wayne Yuan, "Thin Sets Are Not Equally Thin: Minimax Learning of Submanifold Integrals" (2026). Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers. 2920.
https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/cowles-discussion-paper-series/2920