Title

Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series

Document Type

Discussion Paper

Publication Date

8-1-1998

CFDP Number

1190

CFDP Pages

63

Abstract

An asymptotic theory is developed for nonlinear regression with integrated processes. The models allow for nonlinear effects from unit root time series and therefore deal with the case of parametric nonlinear cointegration. The theory covers integrable, asymptotically homogeneous and explosive functions. Sufficient conditions for weak consistency are given and a limit distribution theory is provided. In general, the limit theory is mixed normal with mixing variates that depend on the sojourn time of the limiting Brownian motion of the integrated process. The rates of convergence depend on the properties of the nonlinear regression function, and are shown to be as slow as n 1 /4 for integrable functions, to be generally polynomial in n 1 /2 for homogeneous functions, and to be path dependent in the case of explosive functions.

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